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      pewreport

       sofi 2008-12-30
      FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: THURSDAY, December 18, 2008
      Global Public Opinion in the Bush Years (2001-2008)
      America’s Image ?? Muslims and Westerners ?? Global Economy ?? Rise of China
      FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
      Andrew Kohut, President
      Richard Wike, Associate Director
      Erin Carriere-Kretschmer, Senior Researcher
      Kathleen Holzwart, Research Analyst
      (202) 419-4350
      www.
      GLOBAL PUBLIC OPINION IN THE BUSH YEARS (2001-2008)
      When Barack Obama is sworn in as America’s new president in January, he will inherit
      two wars in distant lands, one highly unpopular and the other going badly, along with a
      worldwide financial crisis that is being measured against the Great Depression. He will confront
      the prospect of destructive global climate change and the spread of nuclear weapons to rogue
      states.
      The president-elect has indicated that he will focus on international cooperation in
      addressing global problems, but he will have to navigate a world that has grown highly critical of
      the United States.
      The U.S. image abroad is suffering almost everywhere. Particularly in the most
      economically developed countries, people blame America for the financial crisis. Opposition to
      key elements of American foreign policy is widespread in Western Europe, and positive views of
      the U.S. have declined steeply
      among many of America’s
      longtime European allies. In
      Muslim nations, the wars in
      Afghanistan and particularly Iraq
      have driven negative ratings
      nearly off the charts. The United
      States earns positive ratings in
      several Asian and Latin
      American nations, but usually by
      declining margins. And while the
      most recent Pew Global Attitudes
      survey finds that favorable views
      of America edged up in 2008,
      only in sub-Saharan Africa does
      America score uniformly
      favorable marks.
      83
      53
      31
      78
      62
      42
      33
      50
      0
      20
      40
      60
      80
      2000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
      Percent Favorable
      Britain
      Germany
      France
      Spain
      U.S. Favorability: European Nations
      Pew Global Attitudes Project 2
      America’s image gap is the central, unmistakable finding from surveys conducted over
      the course of this decade by the Pew Research Center’s Pew Global Attitudes Project. Since
      2002, interviewers have polled over 175,000 people in 54 nations and the Palestinian territories
      to compare and contrast public opinion around the world on a large variety of subjects. These
      years coincide almost exactly with the presidency of George W. Bush, thus making it possible to
      assess his impact on matters of concern not just to the United States but to the world. Some of
      the other major findings include:
      • Numerous tensions exist between Muslim and Western publics on values, policies, world
      events, and perceptions of one another. For instance, a 2006 Pew Global Attitudes survey
      highlighted the extent to which Muslims saw the controversy surrounding cartoons
      published by a Danish newspaper portraying the prophet Muhammad as an example of
      Western disrespect for Islam, while Westerners blamed intolerance among Muslims.
      • Despite some rough edges, globalization has
      enjoyed widespread popularity during the
      Bush years. Surveys have found worldwide
      support for increased commerce across
      national borders. Still, enthusiasm is waning
      in Western Europe and the United States as
      rich countries become aware of
      accompanying dislocations. And many
      foreigners, even as they devour American
      movies and music, fear the crowding out of
      their own cultures.
      • The rise of China has generated serious
      concerns in many countries. China’s
      favorability ratings have fallen since 2002,
      particularly in Europe and its biggest
      neighbors – India, Japan, and Russia. China is
      already widely regarded as one of the world’s
      top economic powers and is seen by many as
      likely to replace the United States as the
      world’s dominant power.
      • The world’s agenda is evolving but not
      transforming. A 2007 survey found that
      Views of China
      42
      36
      56
      72
      68
      30
      54
      50
      29
      42
      52
      34
      49
      84
      40
      38
      31
      14
      51
      39
      31
      28
      60
      33
      24
      59
      50
      44
      52
      48
      46
      14
      47
      38
      34
      79
      71
      37
      8
      8
      40
      45
      47
      58
      76
      26
      U.S.
      Britain
      Spain
      France
      Germany
      Russia
      Poland
      Turkey
      Egypt
      Lebanon
      Jordan
      Pakistan
      Indonesia
      Australia
      S. Korea
      India
      Japan
      Brazil
      Mexico
      Argentina
      Nigeria
      Tanzania
      S. Africa
      Unfavorable Favorable
      2008 Pew Global Attitudes Project
      Pew Global Attitudes Project 3
      global publics were increasingly concerned about the growing gap between the world’s
      rich and poor. Concern about pollution had also increased. At the family level, people
      consistently named financial concerns as the most important problem in their own lives,
      but they did not want to see economic growth come at the expense of the environment.
      AMERICA’S IMAGE GAP
      Mounting discontent with U.S.
      foreign policy over the last eight years
      has translated into a concern about
      American power. In the view of much of
      the world, the United States has played
      the role of bully in the school yard,
      throwing its weight around with little
      regard for others’ interests.
      America won a measure of global
      sympathy after the terrorist attacks of
      Sept. 11, 2001, but the inaugural Pew
      Global Attitudes survey showed that by
      spring 2002 favorability ratings for the
      U.S. had already dropped in many
      countries since the start of the decade.
      Surveys conducted after the U.S.–led
      invasion of Iraq in 2003 found further
      declines. Positive views of the United
      States declined in 26 of the 33 countries
      where the question was posed in both
      2002 and 2007.
      Respondents to the 2006 survey in
      13 of 15 countries found the American presence in Iraq to be an equal or greater danger to
      stability in the Middle East than the regime of Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, while
      11 judged it a threat to Middle East stability greater than or equal to the Israeli-Palestinian
      conflict.
      And while the U.S.-led war on terrorism initially drew strong support among U.S. allies
      in Europe, in recent years world attitudes toward America’s military operations in Afghanistan
      Favorable Views of the U.S.
      1999/
      2000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
      % % % % % % % %
      Britain 83 75 70 58 55 56 51 53
      France 62 62 42 37 43 39 39 42
      Spain 50 -- 38 -- 41 23 34 33
      Germany 78 60 45 38 42 37 30 31
      Poland 86 79 -- -- 62 -- 61 68
      Russia 37 61 37 46 52 43 41 46
      Turkey 52 30 15 30 23 12 9 12
      Lebanon -- 36 27 -- 42 -- 47 51
      Egypt -- -- -- -- -- 30 21 22
      Jordan -- 25 1 5 21 15 20 19
      South Korea 58 52 46 -- -- -- 58 70
      India -- 66 -- -- 71 56 59 66
      Japan 77 72 -- -- -- 63 61 50
      Australia -- -- 59 -- -- -- -- 46
      China -- -- -- -- 42 47 34 41
      Indonesia 75 61 15 -- 38 30 29 37
      Pakistan 23 10 13 21 23 27 15 19
      Brazil 56 51 35 -- -- -- 44 47
      Mexico 68 64 -- -- -- -- 56 47
      Argentina 50 34 -- -- -- -- 16 22
      Tanzania -- 53 -- -- -- -- 46 65
      Nigeria 46 76 61 -- -- 62 70 64
      South Africa -- 65 -- -- -- -- -- 60
      1999/2000 survey trends provided by the Office of Research,
      U.S. Department of State.
      Pew Global Attitudes Project 4
      have turned increasingly negative. Now in recent surveys, majorities in nearly all countries think
      it’s time for America to withdraw from both Iraq and Afghanistan.
      WESTERNERS AND MUSLIMS: A COMPLEX RELATIONSHIP
      The project has documented considerable
      tensions between Westerners and Muslims, finding
      that fundamentally different views of world events are
      feeding these tensions.
      Not surprisingly, American and Muslim
      opinions diverge on the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.
      In a 2006 survey, 51% of Americans said the ouster of
      Iraqi President Saddam Hussein made the world a
      safer place. In the five Muslim nations surveyed,
      support for this view ranged from 8% to 16%.
      Less expectedly, the 2006 survey found that a
      majority of Indonesians, Jordanians, Turks and
      Egyptians remained unconvinced that Arabs were
      responsible for the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks in New
      York and Washington.
      The furor in Islamic countries over the publication in Denmark of cartoons that depicted
      the prophet Muhammad revealed a similar divergence in perspective. Respondents to the 2006
      survey in four Muslim countries blamed Western disrespect for Islam. But in five Western
      nations, majorities attributed the controversy to Muslim intolerance of points of view other than
      their own.
      Muslims Look at the West
      Many Muslims have an aggrieved view of the West. Majorities in many Muslim nations
      – and in some Western European ones, for that matter – believe America’s war on terrorism is
      really an effort to control Mideast oil or to dominate the world. In the 2004 Pew Global Attitudes
      survey, more than half of Jordanians and Pakistanis, as well as 40% or more of French and
      Germans – said that the war on terrorism was a smokescreen for a campaign against unfriendly
      Muslim governments.
      Many of those surveyed in predominantly Muslim nations in 2006 expressed ill will
      toward the United States and other Western countries, frequently ascribing to them such traits as
      Did Arabs Carry Out
      9/11 Attacks?*
      17
      48
      35
      33
      16
      32
      16
      39
      15
      56
      46
      44
      35
      65
      59
      59
      53
      41
      42 47
      British Muslims
      French Muslims
      German Muslims
      Spanish Muslims
      Indonesia
      Egypt
      Turkey
      Jordan
      Pakistan
      Nigerian
      Yes No
      *Asked of Muslims only.
      2006 Pew Global Attitudes Project
      Pew Global Attitudes Project 5
      “violent” and “selfish.” In the 2007 survey, in nine of the 47 countries polled, fewer than 30% of
      respondents rated America favorably. With the exception of Argentina, all were predominantly
      Muslim.
      Middle Eastern countries widely see a U.S. policy tilt toward Israel in its dispute with the
      Palestinians. Of Egyptians surveyed in 2007, 86% held this view, against none who thought
      America favored the Palestinians. Even among Israelis, a 42% plurality believed U.S. policy
      favors their country too much.
      Westerners Evaluate Muslims
      By and large, non-Muslims express somewhat less negative views of Muslims than vice
      versa. Majorities in four of the six Western countries in the 2006 survey voiced a favorable
      attitude toward Muslims. Yet many in the non-Muslim world have doubts about Muslim values.
      Large majorities in such countries as Spain, Russia, India and Nigeria consider them fanatical
      and violent as do smaller majorities or pluralities in other non-Muslim countries.
      Given a list of five positive characteristics and six negative ones, non-Muslims in the
      2006 survey were just slightly more likely to apply the positive traits than the negative ones to
      Selfish
      50
      51
      54
      56
      57
      63
      67
      69
      73
      81
      Spanish Muslims
      French Muslims
      Pakistan
      Nigeria
      German Muslims
      Egypt
      British Muslims
      Turkey
      Jordan
      Indonesia
      Arrogant
      43
      45
      48
      48
      49
      53
      64
      67
      72
      74
      Spanish Muslims
      French Muslims
      German Muslims
      Jordan
      Egypt
      Pakistan
      British Muslims
      Turkey
      Indonesia
      Nigeria
      Violent
      24
      29
      34
      49
      52
      64
      70
      74
      75
      81
      Spanish Muslims
      French Muslims
      German Muslims
      Pakistan
      British Muslims
      Indonesia
      Turkey
      Nigeria
      Egypt
      Jordan
      Fanatical
      0
      43
      48
      50
      72
      73
      74
      78
      83
      Spanish Muslims
      Spanish Muslims
      U.S.
      Great Britain
      France
      Russia
      India
      Nigeria
      Germany
      Spain
      Violent
      0
      32
      41
      45
      52
      59
      60
      67
      73
      Spanish Muslims
      Spanish Muslims
      Great Britain
      France
      U.S.
      Germany
      Russia
      Spain
      India
      Nigeria
      Arrogant
      0
      28
      35
      35
      38
      42
      51
      55
      58
      Spanish Muslims
      Spanish Muslims
      Germany
      U.S.
      Great Britain
      France
      Spain
      Russia
      Nigeria
      India
      Negative Characteristics Muslims Associate with People in Western Countries *
      Negative Traits Muslims and Non-Muslims See in One Another
      Negative Characteristics Non-Muslims Associate with Muslims *
      *Top three traits of six negative traits tested. Lighter shading indicates Muslim subpopulations within Western European countries.
      In Pakistan, the percentage of Don't Know/Refused responses ranges from 28% to 31% on these characteristics.
      Nigerian Muslims asked about "people in Western countries," Nigerian non-Muslims asked about "Muslims."
      2006 Pew Global Attitudes Project
      Pew Global Attitudes Project 6
      Muslims. Muslims, in contrast, associated Westerners with negative characteristics more
      frequently than with positive ones. Respondents in six Muslim nations most often called
      Westerners violent (followed by selfish). In six Western nations, Muslims were most commonly
      seen as devout (followed by fanatical).
      Non-Muslim Europeans are particularly likely to regard Muslims as not respectful of
      women; prevalence of the belief that women are treated badly in Muslim nations ranged from
      59% in Britain to 83% in Spain. But strong majorities of Muslims living in three of four
      European nations surveyed in 2006 said Westerners are respectful of women.
      Non-Muslims in Western countries believe Muslims face a conflict between being devout
      and living in a modern, prosperous society. Muslims – notably those living in Western Europe –
      disagree.
      Who’s to Blame?
      Muslims and Westerners agree that they often disagree. But they part company on which
      side is responsible. Each tends to blame the other. In all five predominantly Muslim countries in
      the 2006 survey, majorities of those who felt relations were bad fingered the West. In Egypt, a
      mere 1% said Muslims were responsible.
      The six Western nations were more divided in their opinions. Pluralities – but not
      majorities – in four of the six said Muslims were mostly to blame. In Britain, respondents by a
      small margin cited Westerners. In Spain, a plurality volunteered that both were to blame.
      Both Muslims and Westerners agree that Muslim nations should be doing better
      economically. But that’s where agreement on this question ends, even within the two groups. In
      Egypt and Jordan, majorities blamed U.S. and Western policies. Majorities of Pakistanis and
      Turks pointed to a lack of education, and Indonesians to government corruption.
      In the West, U.S. and Western policies ranked at or near the bottom of a list of five
      choices to explain poverty in Muslim countries. Government corruption was cited most often,
      followed by lack of education.
      Some Light at the End of the Tunnel?
      Amid all the mistrust and recriminations, the Pew surveys turned up a number of positive
      trends in Muslim public opinion, most notably a sharp decline in support for suicide bombing.
      The share of Muslims who found suicide bombing as a justified means of defending Islam fell
      throughout the period from 2002 to 2008. In Lebanon, 74% of Muslims considered suicide
      Pew Global Attitudes Project 7
      bombing as justified in 2002, but
      that percentage tumbled to 32%
      in 2008. Pakistani support for
      suicide bombing plunged from
      33% to 5%.
      While al Qaeda leader
      Osama bin Laden inspired
      substantial confidence in a few
      predominately Muslim countries
      in 2003, his popularity has
      plummeted in recent years.
      Confidence among Jordanian
      Muslims has dropped from 56%
      in 2003 to 19% in 2008; a mere
      2% of Muslims in Lebanon and
      3% in Turkey said in 2008 that
      they were confident bin Laden
      would do the right thing in world
      affairs.
      Finally, citizens of
      predominantly Muslim nations
      express positive views of
      democracy, as do those of other
      developing countries. In the 2006
      survey, majorities or pluralities in
      five Muslim countries said
      democracy was not appropriate
      just for the West but could work
      for them as well. Included were
      some of America’s toughest
      critics, such as Egypt, Jordan, and
      Pakistan.
      For their part, Westerners
      are divided over whether Muslim countries are ready for democracy. In the 2006 survey, about
      half of Americans (49%) agreed with majorities in Britain and France that democracy would
      work well in most Muslim countries. Majorities in Germany and Spain said it would not.
      58
      44 37
      59
      34
      46
      56
      19
      3
      15
      2
      20
      0
      20
      40
      60
      80
      2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
      Percent A lot/Some Confidence
      Nigeria
      Indonesia
      Pakistan
      Jordan
      Turkey
      Lebanon
      Declining Confidence in Osama bin Laden Among Muslims
      Based on Muslim respondents.
      74
      32
      47
      32
      43
      25
      26
      11
      33
      5
      13
      0 3
      20
      40
      60
      80
      2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
      Percent Often/Sometimes Justified
      Lebanon
      Nigeria
      Jordan
      Indonesia
      Pakistan
      Turkey
      Fewer Muslims View Suicide Bombing as Justified
      Based on Muslim respondents.
      Pew Global Attitudes Project 8
      FINANCIAL CRISIS IN A GLOBAL ECONOMY
      As the world’s No. 1 economic as well as
      military power, the United States is taking a hefty
      share of the blame for the financial crisis that
      engulfed most of the world in 2008.
      Even before the crisis had fully blossomed,
      only in six of the 24 countries included in the
      spring 2008 Pew Global Attitudes survey did
      participants describe their national economies as
      “very good” or “somewhat good.” These included
      three nations in Asia and the South Pacific
      (Australia, China, and India) and three in Europe
      (Germany, Poland, and Russia). Majorities in only
      five countries – China (with a whopping 85%),
      India, Pakistan, Brazil and Nigeria – saw better
      times as likely in the next 12 months.
      And at a time of global economic gloom,
      the survey found overwhelming agreement that the United States exerted “a great deal” or a “fair
      amount” of influence on other national economies. In most countries, vast majorities (95% in
      Japan, 94% in South Korea, 91% in Australia, 90% in Britain and Germany) subscribed to this
      view. The outliers were China and Pakistan, but even there, 46% and 41%, respectively, saw a
      substantial American influence.
      Those who saw a substantial economic impact were asked whether it was positive or
      negative. Majorities or pluralities in 18 of the 23 countries said the influence was negative,
      sometimes by large majorities (72% in both Britain and Germany). In no country did a majority
      say that U.S. economic influence was positive.
      Changing Views of National Economies
      Number of countries Good Bad
      where economy 6 18
      currently is seen as:
      Where “good” 2007 2008 Change
      ratings plummeted % %
      Britain 69 30 -39
      U.S. 50 20 -30
      Spain 65 35 -30
      Turkey 46 21 -25
      Argentina 45 23 -22
      Pakistan 59 41 -18
      Where “good”
      ratings prevail
      China 82 82 0
      Australia n/a 69 --
      India 74 62 -12
      Germany 63 53 -10
      Poland 36 52 +16
      Russia 38 52 +14
      Percent saying nation’s economic situation is very
      or somewhat good.
      Pew Global Attitudes Project 9
      Enthusiasm for Globalization…
      The United States, long a champion of closer
      commercial links among countries, is seeing much
      of the world not only sharing its enthusiasm but
      exceeding it. In fact, of the 24 nations surveyed in
      2008, Americans were dead last in calling the
      growing multi-national trade and business ties either
      “very good” or “somewhat good.” A 53% majority
      of Americans gave thumbs up to international
      commerce, but that support paled in comparison
      with the 91% of Nigerians and 90% of Indians at the
      top of the list.
      In general, the Asian nations that have been
      running huge trade surpluses thought international
      commerce was just fine. Majorities of 88% in South
      Korea and 87% in China approved of growing trade
      and business ties across borders.
      Many industrial countries, which have been
      receiving new international competition from
      developing economies such as China’s and India’s,
      have found the global economy to be losing its
      luster. American support for trade has fallen from
      78% in 2002 to just 53% in 2008; Britain, France,
      and Germany have also recorded declining levels of
      support over this period.
      …But Concerns Too
      The ability of people to cross national borders in search of jobs is a central component of
      globalization, but a controversial one. The United States is not the only country struggling to
      limit immigration; majorities in 44 of the 46 other countries surveyed in 2007 wanted more
      restrictions. The two exceptions were South Korea (25%) and Japan (47%), where barriers to
      foreigners were already high.
      Three Americans in four favored making immigration more difficult. Majorities in
      Western European countries, magnets for immigrants from Eastern Europe, North Africa, and
      elsewhere, strongly agreed. In Italy, whose economy has been particularly lethargic in recent
      years, fully 87% of respondents called for stricter immigration controls.
      Growing Trade Ties Between
      Countries are…for Country
      59
      44
      21
      19
      30
      19
      35
      41
      19
      43
      30
      28
      14
      48
      46
      28
      19
      15
      21
      34
      24
      12
      22
      15
      91
      89
      88
      87
      87
      86
      85
      85
      83
      82
      81
      80
      78
      78
      77
      71
      71
      69
      67
      65
      62
      57
      53
      90
      Nigeria
      India
      Spain
      S. Korea
      Germany
      China
      Australia
      Lebanon
      Poland
      Tanzania
      France
      Russia
      Brazil
      Pakistan
      S. Africa
      Britain
      Indonesia
      Japan
      Mexico
      Turkey
      Jordan
      Argentina
      Egypt
      U.S.
      Very good
      Somewhat good
      Net
      2008 Pew Global Attitudes Project
      Pew Global Attitudes Project 10
      Other aspects of globalization are also controversial. In many countries, the public
      worries about the widening gap between the world’s rich and poor. In 11 of the 35 countries
      where trend data are available, a significantly larger share of
      the public rated the rich-poor divide as a top danger to the
      world in the 2007 survey.
      Many also worry about the environmental
      consequences of the economic growth associated with
      globalization. In every one of the 47 countries surveyed in
      2007, with the sole exception of Indonesia, majorities of
      respondents agreed that “protecting the environment should
      be given priority, even if it causes slower economic
      growth and some loss of jobs.”
      Finally, many countries, while fans of
      American popular culture, express concern about a
      tidal wave of U.S. music, television shows and
      movies. Of the 46 foreign nations surveyed in 2007,
      majorities or pluralities in only six – Japan, Israel and
      four African countries – said it was good that
      American ideas and customs were spreading there.
      Opinion on the other side was vehement: French and
      Germans found the spread of American culture
      unwelcome by a margin of more than 4 to 1, and only
      4% of Turks and Pakistanis applauded the trend.
      WORLD LEADERS
      President George W. Bush’s popularity in the
      United States has sunk to the level of Richard Nixon’s
      just before he resigned from office. The president’s
      standing abroad is still worse.
      In 2008, the Pew Global Attitudes Project
      asked citizens of 24 countries whether they could
      count on Bush to do the right thing regarding foreign
      affairs. Majorities in only three (India, Nigeria, and
      Tanzania) said they had a lot or some confidence.
      Greater Concern About
      American Ideas, Customs
      ‘Bad’ they are
      spreading here
      Greatest 2002 2007 Change
      increases % %
      Bulgaria 32 52 +20
      Britain 50 67 +17
      Tanzania 67 82 +15
      Czech Rep. 61 76 +15
      Germany 66 80 +14
      Confidence in Bush
      60
      81
      85
      87
      88
      50
      69
      89
      65
      86
      89
      33
      45
      69
      66
      61
      80
      77
      86
      33
      39
      52
      37
      41
      22
      2
      33
      30
      25
      23
      23
      17
      16
      60
      55
      32
      64
      76
      11
      14
      13
      7
      7
      7
      16
      30
      55
      8
      U.S.
      Britain
      Germany
      France
      Spain
      Poland
      Russia
      Turkey
      Lebanon
      Egypt
      Jordan
      India
      China
      S. Korea
      Japan
      Australia
      Indonesia
      Pakistan
      Brazil
      Mexico
      Argentina
      Tanzania
      Nigeria
      S. Africa
      Not too much/No confidence
      A lot/Some confidence
      2008 Pew Global Attitudes Project
      Pew Global Attitudes Project 11
      On the other side of the ledger, majorities in 19 of the 24 countries had little or no
      confidence in the American president. In the four Western European countries surveyed,
      majorities without much confidence ranged from 81% in Britain to 88% in Spain. In the Middle
      East, majorities rose as high as 89% in Turkey and Jordan. Since 2003, confidence in Bush has
      fallen in eight of the 14 foreign countries where trend data are available. In the remaining six
      countries confidence has remained relatively low.
      The 2008 survey also asked opinions of four other world leaders: Russian Prime Minister
      Vladimir Putin, German Chancellor Angela Merkel, French President Nicolas Sarkozy and, in
      only seven predominately Muslim countries, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. In four
      of the countries – India and the survey’s three sub-Saharan African countries, Nigeria, South
      Africa, and Tanzania – Bush received the highest confidence rating. Ahmadinejad won the
      highest approval ratings in three countries, Turkey, Pakistan, and Indonesia; Putin prevailed in
      two: his own and China. Respondents expressed confidence most frequently in Merkel, while
      Sarkozy was a close second.
      HERE COMES CHINA
      China has come a long way since Mao Zedong’s Cultural Revolution left hundreds of
      thousands dead and many more displaced in the 1960s and 1970s. In the intervening years, China
      has used a unique blend of free markets and authoritarianism to attract both admiration for and
      fear of its military and economic prowess. In the view of much of the world, America will not be
      the world’s only superpower for long; if it’s not doing so already, China will soon be knocking
      on the door. The 24-nation survey in 2008 asked publics whether China would replace – or had
      already replaced – the United States as the world’s leading superpower. Majorities in seven
      countries and pluralities in six more answered yes.
      As for Americans, 54% said China would never supplant the United States. But it was
      Japan, China’s longtime rival and sometime enemy, that supplied the largest margin against
      China’s ultimately prevailing. Two-thirds of Japanese said it would never happen.
      The 24 nations split virtually evenly between America and China in favorability ratings.
      Both China and the U.S. scored favorable ratings among a majority in seven nations, but the
      composition of the groups favoring each differed. However, while America’s overall image
      improved slightly among the 21 countries surveyed in both 2007 and 2008, China’s grew more
      negative.
      Pew Global Attitudes Project 12
      Contentment at Home
      China’s own people seem to have accepted and even embraced the transformation from
      socialism to capitalism, although nearly six-in-ten (59%) worry that their traditional way of life
      is disappearing.
      An extraordinary 86% of Chinese said in 2008 that they were satisfied with the way
      things were going in their country, the highest of the 24 countries in the survey. Australia was a
      distant second, 25 percentage points behind.
      The Chinese are in the middle of the
      global pack, however, when it comes to rating
      their own lives. Of the 47 countries in the
      2007 survey, China ranked 29th in satisfaction
      with family life, 32nd in household income
      and 34th in happiness on the job.
      Economic issues lead the list of
      problems the Chinese identify. Specifically,
      they are most worried about inflation,
      followed by the gap between the rich and the
      poor.
      Addressing China’s pollution
      problems, which attracted much international
      attention during the 2008 summer Olympics
      in Beijing, ranks high in importance to the
      Chinese people. Four Chinese in five believe
      protecting the environment should be a
      priority even if it means less economic growth.
      China in the World
      The Chinese people tend to believe their country is admired around the world, but in
      reality many people in other countries voice serious concerns about China. More than threequarters
      of the Chinese surveyed in 2008 said their country was generally liked abroad. In fact, in
      only seven of the 23 other countries in the survey did majorities express a favorable view of
      China, and the trend since 2005, especially in Europe, has been toward the unfavorable. Less
      than a third of respondents in Germany, France or Spain, and less than half in Britain, now
      express a favorable view of China.
      The Chinese Look at Their Lives and Country
      Rating their country Global
      2002 2008 Change ranking*
      Satisfied with % % % pts.
      country direction 48 86 +38 #1
      Economy is good 52 82 +30 #1
      Rating their lives Global
      2002 2008 Change ranking**
      Satisfaction with... % %
      Family life
      Very 13 14 +1
      Somewhat 69 67 -2
      Total 82 81 -1 #29
      Job***
      Very 6 4 -2
      Somewhat 57 60 +3
      Total 63 64 +1 #34
      Household income
      Very 3 4 +1
      Somewhat 48 54 +6
      Total 51 58 +7 #32
      *Based on the 24 countries in the 2008 Pew Global poll.
      ** Based on the 47 countries in the 2007 Pew Global poll.
      ***Based on respondents who are employed.
      Pew Global Attitudes Project 13
      Both China’s economic and military power have
      alarmed countries around the world. In 25 of the 46 countries
      other than China surveyed in 2007, majorities said China’s
      economic prowess was a good thing. On balance, however,
      publics in the United States and most of Europe found
      China’s growing economic might worrisome. Japan viewed
      it as “good” in 2007 but flipped to “bad” the following year.
      No such ambivalence emerged on the military side.
      Of the 23 countries other than China surveyed in 2008, only
      in Pakistan, Nigeria, and Tanzania did majorities find
      China’s growing military power to be good. In neighboring
      Japan and South Korea, support for the rosy view of China’s
      military prowess was measured in the single digits.
      China also gets bad marks for its environmental
      policies – although not as bad as America’s. In the eyes of
      the world, America and China rank Nos. 1 and 2 in
      contributing to the world’s environmental problems, with 16
      of the 24 countries surveyed in 2008 naming the United
      States and seven naming China. (In India, an equal share of
      respondents picked each.)
      SATISFACTION WITH LIFE, BUT NOT WITHOUT WORRIES
      More people around the world say they are getting increased satisfaction from life than
      say they are growing less satisfied. Respondents in the 47 countries of the 2007 survey were
      asked if they thought their lives had gotten better or worse in the last five years. In 32 countries,
      the more common answer was “better.”
      Latin America was generally upbeat. In Europe, only Italy and Bulgaria were not. China
      had the most favorable result: 62% of respondents said their lives had improved, and only 18%
      said they had grown worse. (The sample in China was disproportionately urban.) The most
      negative country was strife-torn Lebanon, where 58% said their lives had worsened and only
      19% said they had become better.
      Who Hurts the World’s
      Environment the Most?
      China U.S. Diff.
      % %
      U.S. 40 22 +18
      Britain 40 36 +4
      France 34 35 -1
      Germany 39 34 +5
      Spain 17 51 -34
      Poland 23 26 -3
      Russia 18 28 -10
      Turkey 6 46 -40
      Egypt 20 22 -2
      Jordan 19 24 -5
      Lebanon 18 36 -18
      Australia 46 24 +22
      China 9 26 -17
      India 21 21 0
      Indonesia 11 42 -31
      Japan 67 17 +50
      Pakistan 1 51 -50
      S. Korea 64 19 +45
      Argentina 7 54 -47
      Brazil 11 44 -33
      Mexico 13 38 -25
      Nigeria 11 24 -13
      S. Africa 16 11 +5
      Tanzania 5 27 -22
      Respondents were asked which country
      is hurting the world’s environment the
      most among the U.S., China, India,
      Germany, Brazil, Japan and Russia.
      2008 Pew Global Attitudes Project
      Pew Global Attitudes Project 14
      The Pew Global Attitudes survey also asked people in 2007 to rate satisfaction with their
      current lives on a scale from 0 to 10. In 20 of the 35 countries for which comparable results were
      available from 2002, the share of people who gave themselves a satisfaction rating of seven or
      higher rose significantly; only in five countries did this category shrink. Americans and French
      held even.
      Personal contentment tended to rise the most in countries whose economies were
      expanding most rapidly. Satisfaction rose significantly in five of the six Eastern European
      countries and all six in Latin America. Among the 35 nations, Brazil recorded the largest gains,
      advancing from 43% highly satisfied in 2002 to 63% in 2007.
      Problems at Home…
      Increasing satisfaction does not mean that people no
      longer identify problems. As in nine of the other 46 countries
      surveyed in 2007, Americans put illegal drugs at the top of their
      list of problems. Just over three Americans in five said illegal
      drugs were a “very big problem.”
      In 11 countries, crime earned the same dubious honor.
      Also prominent were the problems of corrupt leaders (at the top
      of eight countries’ lists), pollution and HIV/AIDS and other
      diseases (seven each) and terrorism (six). However, AIDS and
      other diseases, a major concern in Latin America and Asia in
      2002, lost relative prominence, and in 2007 were the most
      frequently mentioned problem in only seven African nations.
      …and World-Scale
      Assessments of the greatest dangers to
      the world have shifted in recent years. The
      gap between rich and poor countries appeared
      more menacing in 2007 than in 2002, as did
      pollution and other environmental problems.
      In 2002, AIDS was selected by 17 countries,
      while the gap between rich and poor was the
      choice of five countries and pollution of only
      four.
      In 2007, in contrast, the five had
      become closely bunched. The growing gap between rich and poor was rated the greatest danger
      Rating Country Problems
      # of countries
      where majority
      sees problem*
      %
      Corrupt politicians 34
      Crime 33
      Illegal drugs 30
      HIV/AIDS & disease 27
      Pollution 26
      Terrorism 15
      Drinking water 13
      Poor quality schools 12
      Ethnic conflict 5
      Immigration 2
      * Number of countries out of 47
      surveyed where a majority
      consider each a “very big
      problem.”
      2007 Pew Global Attitudes Project
      Shifts in Greatest Danger in 2007
      2
      4
      17
      16
      14
      20
      11
      4
      2
      1
      Pollution/Environment
      Rich/Poor Gap
      Nuclear Weapons
      AIDS & Disease
      Ethnic Hatred
      Is down Is up
      Number of countries where concern about…
      Pew Global Attitudes Project 15
      (or tied for greatest) in 12 countries. AIDS led the list (or tied) in 16 countries, religious and
      ethnic hatred in 12, and the spread of nuclear weapons in nine. Pollution was chosen as the
      greatest menace or tied for that position in 19 countries while substantial majorities in 25 of 37
      countries deemed global warming a “very serious” problem.
      DON’T COUNT AMERICA OUT YET
      The news from the Pew Global Attitudes
      Project is not relentlessly negative for America.
      For many people from all over the world,
      America is still the land of opportunity.
      Majorities or pluralities in 34 of the 46 foreign
      countries that took part in the 2007 survey said
      people who have emigrated to America have
      found better lives.
      America beckons even in countries where
      majorities hold the United States in disfavor.
      Only 15% of Moroccans viewed America
      positively in the 2007 survey. But 52% thought
      that their fellow Moroccans who had moved
      across the Atlantic had improved their lives.
      Most countries surveyed in 2008 give
      America high marks for its respect for the
      personal freedoms of its people. Admiration for
      U.S. science and technology remains nearly
      universal, and despite resistance to the spread of
      U.S. ideas and customs in many parts of the
      world, the appetite for American movies, music
      and television shows remained strong in the 2007
      poll. Also, the American people continue to
      evoke far more positive reviews in many
      countries than does their country.
      Most important for America’s newly
      elected president, the 2008 survey found signs in many countries that people are optimistic about
      the future course of America’s approach to the larger world. Obama himself drew the most
      favorable response of the major contenders for the U.S. presidency at the time of the survey
      New U.S. President Will Change
      U.S. Foreign Policy for the Better
      68
      67
      67
      66
      65
      64
      59
      54
      53
      48
      47
      45
      42
      40
      37
      32
      31
      30
      29
      25
      20
      20
      19
      29
      21
      19
      21
      19
      29
      15
      36
      33
      37
      39
      37
      41
      39
      40
      42
      31
      31
      43
      31
      67
      24
      37
      1
      1
      10
      7
      6
      1
      21
      1
      3
      7
      9
      5
      9
      12
      18
      14
      27
      33
      13
      37
      7
      24
      36
      France
      Spain
      Nigeria
      S. Africa
      Tanzania
      Germany
      India
      Australia
      Britain
      Indonesia
      Brazil
      U.S.
      S. Korea
      China
      Mexico
      Russia
      Poland
      Lebanon
      Turkey
      Egypt
      Japan
      Pakistan
      Jordan
      Change for the better
      Not change that much
      Change for the worse
      Based on respondents w ho say they have been
      follow ing new s about the U.S. presidential race very or
      somew hat closely.
      Argentina not show n as it has too few cases to analyze.
      2008 Pew Global Attidues Project
      Pew Global Attitudes Project 16
      (Obama and Sens. Hillary Clinton and John McCain), with confidence in his leadership
      especially strong among U.S. allies in Western Europe and the Asia/Pacific region. And
      majorities or pluralities in most countries thought that a new president would change the
      country’s foreign policy for the better.
      All Pew Global Attitudes Project reports are available at our website, www..
      See the following page for more information about the Pew Global Attitudes Project.
      Pew Global Attitudes Project 17
      About the Pew Global Attitudes Project
      The Pew Research Center’s Pew Global Attitudes Project is a series of worldwide public opinion surveys
      encompassing a broad array of subjects ranging from people’s assessments of their own lives to their
      views about the current state of the world and important issues of the day. The project is directed by
      Andrew Kohut, president of the Pew Research Center, a nonpartisan “fact tank” in Washington, DC, that
      provides information on the issues, attitudes, and trends shaping America and the world. The Pew Global
      Attitudes Project is principally funded by The Pew Charitable Trusts.
      Since its inception in 2001, the Pew Global
      Attitudes Project has released 22 major reports, as
      well as numerous commentaries and other releases,
      on topics including attitudes toward the U.S. and
      American foreign policy, globalization, terrorism,
      and democratization.
      Findings from the project are also analyzed in
      America Against the World: How We Are Different
      and Why We Are Disliked by Andrew Kohut and
      Bruce Stokes, international economics columnist at
      the National Journal. A paperback edition of the
      book was released in May 2007.
      Pew Global Attitudes Project team members
      include Bruce Stokes; Mary McIntosh, president of
      Princeton Survey Research Associates
      International; and Wendy Sherman, principal at
      The Albright Group LLC. Contributors to the Pew
      Global Attitudes Project include Richard Wike,
      Erin Carriere-Kretschmer, Kathleen Holzwart, Jodie T. Allen, Juliana Menasce Horowitz, Elizabeth
      Mueller Gross, Carroll Doherty, Michael Dimock, and others of the Pew Research Center. This report
      benefited greatly from the work of Joel Havemann, former editor and reporter at the Los Angeles Times,
      who served as primary author of the essay.
      The International Herald Tribune is the project’s international newspaper partner. The Pew Global
      Attitudes Project team regularly consults with survey and policy experts, regional and academic experts,
      journalists, and policymakers whose expertise provides tremendous guidance in shaping the surveys.
      The Pew Global Attitudes Project’s co-chairs are on leave through 2008. The project is co-chaired by
      former U.S. Secretary of State Madeleine K. Albright, currently principal, the Albright Group LLC, and
      by former Senator John C. Danforth, currently partner, Bryan Cave LLP.
      All of the project’s reports and commentaries are available at www.. The data are also
      made available on our website within two years of publication.
      For further information, please contact:
      Richard Wike
      Associate Director, Pew Global Attitudes Project
      202.419.4400 / rwike@pewresearch.org
      Pew Global Attitudes Project
      Public Opinion Surveys
      Survey Sample Interviews
      Summer 2002 44 Nations 38,263
      November 2002 6 Nations 6,056
      March 2003 9 Nations 5,520
      May 2003 21 Publics* 15,948
      March 2004 9 Nations 7,765
      May 2005 17 Nations 17,766
      Spring 2006 15 Nations 16,710
      Spring 2007 47 Publics* 45,239
      Spring 2008 24 Nations 24,717
      * Includes the Palestinian territories.

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