由于投資者難以獲得銀行貸款，并對(duì)不斷下跌的住宅價(jià)格保持謹(jǐn)慎，新獲批的公寓數(shù)量大幅下降。

官方數(shù)據(jù)周一顯示，在2018年12月這個(gè)季度，獲批的公寓數(shù)量同比下降49%。

與此同時(shí)，在監(jiān)管機(jī)構(gòu)和皇家金融服務(wù)委員會(huì)(financial services royal commission)的壓力下，銀行已收緊了對(duì)投資者的放貸。

澳大利亞聯(lián)邦銀行(Commonwealth Bank of australia)高級(jí)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家Gareth Aird指出，整個(gè)東海岸的住宅批準(zhǔn)數(shù)量“大幅下降”，截至去年12月的一年里，維多利亞州住宅批準(zhǔn)總量下降23.4%，新南威爾士州下降21.2%。

他表示，盡管數(shù)據(jù)可能不穩(wěn)定，但趨勢(shì)是明顯的。他補(bǔ)充稱，公寓審批已“跌入懸崖”。

他表示:“盡管這將通過供應(yīng)增長(zhǎng)放緩和空置率收緊為住宅價(jià)格提供一些支撐，但最終將對(duì)就業(yè)和經(jīng)濟(jì)活動(dòng)構(gòu)成壓力?！?/span>

在墨爾本，世邦魏理仕負(fù)責(zé)住宅項(xiàng)目的董事總經(jīng)理 Andrew Leoncelli說，盡管經(jīng)濟(jì)強(qiáng)勁，人口不斷增長(zhǎng)，但購房者很難獲得貸款。

“我們可能正處于過去10年最困難的銷售時(shí)期，”他說。

“那些買下所有城市街區(qū)進(jìn)行高密度公寓開發(fā)的國際開發(fā)商，都被擠出了市場(chǎng)?！?/span>

他表示，以自住業(yè)主為重點(diǎn)的公寓開發(fā)項(xiàng)目銷售情況較好，但數(shù)量不多。

“與2015年相比，2019年的公寓銷售總量將減少75%，因此數(shù)量將大幅減少?！?/span>

Master builders Australia首席經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家Shane Garrett表示，盡管2018年的公寓批準(zhǔn)數(shù)量相對(duì)較高，但隨著建筑商和開發(fā)商新開工項(xiàng)目的減少，今年最后幾個(gè)月的下滑速度加快。

“在價(jià)格下跌的情況下，很難說服人們購買，” Garrett表示。

“當(dāng)需求恢復(fù)正常時(shí)，在建房屋就太少了。”

HIA高級(jí)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家Geordan Murray表示，由于房?jī)r(jià)下跌嚇退了潛在買家，單元房市場(chǎng)正從創(chuàng)紀(jì)錄的高位回落。

他說:“為了啟動(dòng)和運(yùn)行一個(gè)項(xiàng)目，開發(fā)商需要獲得一定程度的預(yù)售?！?/span>

“如果沒有預(yù)售，項(xiàng)目就無法進(jìn)行。”

他說，目前的建設(shè)工作相對(duì)強(qiáng)勁，但隨著項(xiàng)目的完成，上線的項(xiàng)目將會(huì)減少。

周一凌晨，墨爾本CBD的一座高層建筑突然起火，引發(fā)了人們對(duì)公寓市場(chǎng)的關(guān)注。大都會(huì)消防隊(duì)(Metropolitan Fire Brigade)警告稱，該街區(qū)的鋁復(fù)合材料與倫敦格倫費(fèi)爾大廈(Grenfell tower)相同，后者曾在2017年發(fā)生致命火災(zāi)。

在悉尼， Opal Tower的居民在圣誕節(jié)前被迫離開家園，當(dāng)時(shí)大樓出現(xiàn)了裂縫。

Apartment approvals slump as investors stay cautious about falling prices

The number of new apartment approvals has fallen sharply as investors struggle to get bank loans and remain cautious about falling dwelling prices.

此文章出于 

<ELIZABETH REDMAN, 04 Feb 2019>

The amount of apartments approved dropped 49 per cent in the December quarter 2018, compared to the same period a year earlier, official figures on Monday showed.

It comes as banks have clamped down on lending to investors, under pressure from the regulator and the financial services royal commission.

Commonwealth Bank senior economist Gareth Aird noted “solid falls” across the eastern seaboard, with total residential approvals down 23.4 per cent in Victoria over the year to December and 21.2 per cent in NSW.

Although the figures can be volatile, the trend was clear, he said, adding apartment approvals had “stepped off a cliff”.

“While that will provide some support to dwelling prices via weaker growth in supply and tighter vacancy rates, it will ultimately weigh on employment and economic activity,” he said.

In Melbourne, CBRE’s managing director for residential projects Andrew Leoncelli said despite a strong economy and growing population, buyers struggled to get loans.

“We’re probably in our most difficult period for sales in the last 10 years,” he said.

“The international developers that were buying all the city blocks to do very high density apartment development, they’re out of the market.”

Owner-occupier-focused suburban apartment developments were selling better but only in small numbers, he said.

“We will be 75 per cent down on the total number of apartments sold in 2019, as compared to 2015, so it’s a major reduction in volume.”

Although apartment approvals stayed relatively high during 2018 the pace of decline accelerated in the final months of the year, with builders and developers initiating fewer new projects, Master Builders Australia chief economist Shane Garrett said.

“It’s hard to persuade people to buy in a situation where prices are going down,” Mr Garrett said.

“When demand gets back onto its feet, you have too few homes being built.”

HIA senior economist Geordan Murray said the unit market was slipping back from record high levels as falling house prices deterred prospective buyers.

“Developers would need to get a level of presales in order to get a project up and running,” he said.

“In the absence of those presales, projects don’t proceed.”

The pipeline of construction work is relatively strong at the moment but as projects reach completion, fewer projects will come online, he said.

The apartment market has been in focus with a high-rise tower in the Melbourne CBD bursting into flames early Monday morning and the Metropolitan Fire Brigade warning the block was clad in the same kind of aluminium composite materials as London’s Grenfell Tower that saw a deadly blaze in 2017.

In Sydney residents of the Opal Tower were forced out of their homes before Christmas when cracks appeared in the building.